2018 Dr’s Office Exit Interview

First, I’d like to formally apologize for sort of vanishing into thin air. Unlike your favorite superheroes, I was spared Thanos’ snap. Instead, I welcomed my first son into the world, and it’s been a roller coaster ride since. It’s eaten up a lot of my free time, and this is the first real chance I’ve had to dive back into fantasy analysis.

I’ll take the time to review each position in subsequent blog posts, so I won’t dive too deeply into player rankings and the like; instead we’ll evaluate our own performance on the fantasy gridiron.

You may be interested to hear how my own managed teams made out. In 2018 I managed only three fantasy teams, and each one of them was fairly successful in the end. Two teams fell just short of the championship with 2nd place finishes, and a third was knocked out prematurely after finishing with the leagues 2nd best record.

I was more active in the trade market this year than in years past, and it resulted in some of the finest looking “final rosters” I’ve had before. The closest of the teams I came to winning the championship consisted of the following (2 QB, super deep starting rosters)

  • QB: Jared Goff, Matt Ryan, Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo*
  • RB: Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott, Jalen Richard, Spencer Ware, Brian Hill, Zach Zenner, C.J. Anderson
  • WR: Michael Thomas, Odell Beckham Jr. DaeSean Hamilton, Corey Davis, Tim Patrick,  Antonio Callaway, John Ross, Michael Gallup, Christian Kirk*
  • TE: Travis Kelce, Kyle Rudolph

Unfortunately, Gurley and OBJ didn’t play, and I was forced to start Zach Zenner and Tim Patrick in spot’s I’d have filled with other guys.

It was an overall successful year, but it wasn’t without some learning moments.

1. Don’t over commit to high risk players. This one may sound obvious, but I had teams that had both Josh Gordon and Doug Baldwin on them. If they both played to their ceiling I had two studs… but they both flamed out for much of the season, hamstringing otherwise solid teams.

2. Don’t balk at young QBs. I kind of tore down Patrick Mahomes prior to the season as a player being paid far too much for. What happened was he, as well as a handful of other young QB’s, made me eat my words.

3. Listen to the coaches. I hit a few projections on the head this year after hearing coaches talk about specific players and how they intended them to be used. Chris Carson was maligned heavily by some in the fantasy community for his lack of high quality skills and the drafting of Rashaad Penny. We learned pretty quickly that he was the bell cow in that offense, and Pete Carroll returned to him even after Penny and Davis had solid games during Carson’s brief absences.

Now, I’ll take each of these with a grain of salt; they are not part of the new ten commandments or anything. They are just trends I may be seeing solidify over the past few years. Finding the next Patrick Mahomes or Philip Lindsey is more about reading PAST the projections and really understanding the player and the team. You have to get a little lucky, of course, but it helps to be good too.

 

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Posted on January 15, 2019, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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