3 Up, 3 Down

With off season programs well underway, we’re finally seeing news trickle in that help us identify players who are trending up and those who are trending down. Of course, the key is to block out the hyperbolic “coach speak” articles posted on team-friendly blogs and websites, and focus only on the stuff that feels genuine. Take it with a grain of salt, but this is what we’re hearing around the league.

Trending Up

Kenny Golladay, WR – DET

kgolladayThe Lions have had an interesting second off season under head coach Matt Patricia. Budding star Kerryon Johnson has proclaimed his desire to feature less as a work horse, Marvin Jones continues to recover slowly from a knee injury that ended his 2018 early, and it was revealed that Matthew Stafford was dealing with a broken back for parts of 2018. The one constant we can point to in this offense is the precense of Golladay as the top passing target this year for the Lions. With Jones not participating still in off season programs, we’re comfortable moving Golladay up in our positional rankings, and re-tiering him into the potential WR1 area. We’re confident that he’ll have an excellent 2019.

Tevin Coleman, RB – SF

When Coleman signed in San Fransisco, we were skeptical of how that backfield would be handled. Shanahan has shown a willingness in the past to using two backs for two very different purposes, and we weren’t sure just how Coleman fit into that picture with McKinnon possessing very good pass catching abilities, and Brieda and Mostert having had some success as well. Now, with the concerns arising with McKinnon’s recovery, and Brieda’s absense at OTA’s, it’s been Coleman that’s assumed the defacto #1 spot. With his history of success under Shanahan, we see a clear path to excellent fantasy production in 2019.

Andrew Luck, QB – IND

It’s hard to trend up when you’re already being considered one of the top three options at the position in fantasy circles for 2019, but with the questions surrounding Hill in KC, Luck is slowly becoming one of the better values in the early rounds for the position. He’s still going earlier than we like for our own selection, but the addition of Funchess, who has been impressing in camp, as well as speedster Parris Campbell in the draft, and you can see how this receiving group could be lethal. Expect Luck to live up to the lofty expectations we’re labeling him for in 2019.

Trending Down

Marqise Lee, WR – JAC

Going into 2018, it looks like Lee was poised to breakout, but a season ending injury cost him the entire season. Considering the success of players like Dede Westbrook, it’s concerning that Lee has been sidelined so far throughout the off season program in Jacksonville. If he’s slower to returning, the likely hood of him returning to fantasy relevance becomes more and more difficult to justify.

Miles Sanders, RB – PHI

Sanders has been sidelined to start OTAs and the news out of Philadelphia is that he’s slowly falling behind the other backs in terms of potential usage. With Doug Pederson’s history of using a committee, Sanders will need a miracle to be anything other than a future asset, as Jordan Howard and company should assume a larger share of the early downs, leaving Sanders as a difficult sell even as the 32nd back off the board on average. We’re never high on rookie RB’s to begin with, but Sanders is going to get the full fade treatment from us until further notice.

Marcus Mariota, QB – TEN

My attention was piqued when I heard Mariota was planning on playing at a weight about 15 pounds heavier than he had previously, leading to concerns that he’d eschew running to stay in the pocket. One of Mariota’s best fantasy attributes has been his ability to mitigate any lack of production through the air by running the ball. With the recent news that the Titans GM suggested the team wants Mariota to run less in general, and it’s becoming clear that this could be a difficult year for Mariota owners. Until he proves he can be successful in the pocket, an immobilized Mariota is a player I’m unlikely to own shares of.

Posted on June 24, 2019, in draft strategy, Fantasy Football, Player Articles and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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